POD: 5-3 +3,75
Andre: 5-6-1 -1,50
Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 8 (-107) (Play of the Day)
This is an afternoon game so please note. By the way, I think there is a bug in the system which is why this is graded at 8 on it, and the web guys are working on getting the correct lines, so this will be graded at 8.5, as I don´t see 8 anywhere. This applies for the White Sox total as well. To the analysis: Look, both of these teams come off very frustrating series against the Pirates as well as the Dbacks and the Cards come off getting swept. I tust neither Pineiro or Lilly as they are not the ace caliber pitchers that should be getting the respect of a 8.5 line. Look for both offenses to take out some frustration as the Cards off getting swept at Arizona and the Cubs coming home after losing more games than they wanted to at Pitt. I was going to take this game even at 9, as Pineiro is giving up more hits than he would like right now and it will eventually catch up to him, and Lilly has pitched in 6 of 7 overs. Lilly has pitched in 4 straight overs and the over is 4-1 for the Cardinals following a loss.
Nats +102 (washington)
This simply comes down to the fact that I trust Hill over Olsen. Hill has an offense that is playing better and not to mention he has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts and he hasn´t picked up more wins b/c he typically faces the better pitchers in the league such as Penny, Francis and El Duke, so his offense has been getting the runs that he needs. He 3.20 ERA overall this year and comes off one of his weaker starts at a 4.27 ERA so I expect him to pitch better today while Olsen has given up 28 hits in his last 3 starts and that undoubtedly will come back to haunt him today. The Nats are 4-0 when Hill starts with 5 days of rest, 6-1 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.3 and the Marlins have lost their last 6 as a home favorite.
Indians/White Sox Over 9.5 (-110)
Not sure why the system has this at 9, as I see 9.5 everywhere. So, I will grade this at 9.5 as that is what I have it at. The White Sox are horrible. I understand that. However, I also know that they own Carmona. Much like the Indians own Santana, the White Sox possess 18 hits, 11 runs in just over 10 innings against Carmona. Furthermore, Carmona has not put together back to back quality starts in a while I believe that Floyd is in for a let-down after his great outing against the Tigers. The Indians put up 6 runs a piece on Santana and Weaver, why can´t they put up 6 against a weak pitcher such as Floyd. I have the Indians picking up at least 6 runs here and the White Sox to pick up at least 4 for this game to go over. Cleveland has all under trends, but the over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago, 4-0 when the Indians face a winning road team at home and the over is 5-1 when this total is set at home.
Andre: 5-6-1 -1,50
Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 8 (-107) (Play of the Day)
This is an afternoon game so please note. By the way, I think there is a bug in the system which is why this is graded at 8 on it, and the web guys are working on getting the correct lines, so this will be graded at 8.5, as I don´t see 8 anywhere. This applies for the White Sox total as well. To the analysis: Look, both of these teams come off very frustrating series against the Pirates as well as the Dbacks and the Cards come off getting swept. I tust neither Pineiro or Lilly as they are not the ace caliber pitchers that should be getting the respect of a 8.5 line. Look for both offenses to take out some frustration as the Cards off getting swept at Arizona and the Cubs coming home after losing more games than they wanted to at Pitt. I was going to take this game even at 9, as Pineiro is giving up more hits than he would like right now and it will eventually catch up to him, and Lilly has pitched in 6 of 7 overs. Lilly has pitched in 4 straight overs and the over is 4-1 for the Cardinals following a loss.
Nats +102 (washington)
This simply comes down to the fact that I trust Hill over Olsen. Hill has an offense that is playing better and not to mention he has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts and he hasn´t picked up more wins b/c he typically faces the better pitchers in the league such as Penny, Francis and El Duke, so his offense has been getting the runs that he needs. He 3.20 ERA overall this year and comes off one of his weaker starts at a 4.27 ERA so I expect him to pitch better today while Olsen has given up 28 hits in his last 3 starts and that undoubtedly will come back to haunt him today. The Nats are 4-0 when Hill starts with 5 days of rest, 6-1 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.3 and the Marlins have lost their last 6 as a home favorite.
Indians/White Sox Over 9.5 (-110)
Not sure why the system has this at 9, as I see 9.5 everywhere. So, I will grade this at 9.5 as that is what I have it at. The White Sox are horrible. I understand that. However, I also know that they own Carmona. Much like the Indians own Santana, the White Sox possess 18 hits, 11 runs in just over 10 innings against Carmona. Furthermore, Carmona has not put together back to back quality starts in a while I believe that Floyd is in for a let-down after his great outing against the Tigers. The Indians put up 6 runs a piece on Santana and Weaver, why can´t they put up 6 against a weak pitcher such as Floyd. I have the Indians picking up at least 6 runs here and the White Sox to pick up at least 4 for this game to go over. Cleveland has all under trends, but the over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Chicago, 4-0 when the Indians face a winning road team at home and the over is 5-1 when this total is set at home.