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Gyldne råd!

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Som lovet i en tråd, vælger jeg at offentliggøre, nogle af de spilleprincipper, jeg prioritere højt, når jeg better. Der er mange af dem, og derfor er det naturligvis begrænset hvor effektiv man kan være med at følge dem til punkt og prikke.

Nedenstående råd kommer fra en amerikansk prof. gambler.

God læselyst.
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The challenge of sports betting is to collect and analyze
information and then make a sound judgment on what to bet on,
what type of bet to place and how much.

To create an opportunity to be a winner, you need to take into
account three main factors, analyze them and act on your findings
accordingly. These are:

The odds offer (Price):
The odds offer has to be at least 2:1 to make it worthwhile.

The value of the odds (overpriced or underpriced?):
The value of the odds must be such that the sportsbook´s
commission is to a minimum, if at all.

The type of bet (single, multiple, combination, etc.):
Three type of bets seem to stand out as a sensible combination
to use because they are simple, not too difficult to win and
have good winning potential: the Straight bet, the Doubles and
the Future.

Now you know the information you need to analyze. So, get out
there and find the right bets!

Here are the two main betting pitfalls that you should avoid.

Chasing Losses
Do not increase your bets or bet on more games in order to make up
losses. By chasing losses all you do is put your bankroll at risk.

Winning Exuberance
Do not increase your bets or bet on more games because you are on a
winning streak and can´t lose. You can and will lose. The natural
temptation when you have a great week, is to start doubling your
bet amounts and the number of games you are betting on. Do not do
it. You must stay disciplined.

So, whether winning or losing, you see that you must remain
disciplined! Be a disciplined bettor and you will come out on top!

Want to know how to avoid losing on sports bets?
It means getting rid of gambling fever! Read on!

Gambling fever is that euphoric feeling you get when you login to
make bets, the wave of excitement that overcomes you when you turn
the TV on to watch the game, and the feeling you get whether you
win or lose. It feels so good but can be downright dangerous.

Did you know that 97% of all bettors lose? If you flip a coin 100
times you should come out close to 50/50 right? Why is it that 97%
of sports bettors go broke then?

GAMBLING FEVER!
The inability to control one´s self in thinking
clearly when a point spread comes around.

Let´s take a look at some ways to cure this
and get on the winning track:

1. Don´t bet the board. The odds stack up against you.

2. Don´t bet anything you haven´t handicapped.
Would you jump into a pool head first not knowing how deep it is?

3. Don´t get hooked betting nationally televised games.
These games have inflated lines.

4. Don´t get hooked on betting your favorite team.
Betting your favorite team allows emotions and irrational
thoughts to come into play.

5. Only bet when there´s value, when you have the edge.
Look for things like weather conditions, going against public
perception when everybody is on one side of a game, etc.

These are just a few thoughts and ideas on how to avoid
losing and to start getting on the winning track.
Good luck in your action although you shouldn´t need it.

In this email, I will discuss point spreads, how to read them, and
use an NFL football game as an example to illustrate a spread bet.

In a spread bet, the team perceived to have less of a chance of
winning will have points added to their score and the team expected
to win will have the same number of points subtracted from their
score. Those points are known as the point spread, and are
sometimes called the line or the price.

Let´s say you bet on the team everyone expects to win. Since
everyone expects this team to win, it will have points subtracted
from it´s final score - the spread - to even things up. The team
must win by the point spread given at the time you placed your
sports bet. If the team you bet on still has a greater number of
points than the opponent after the point spread has been subtracted
from its final score, your bet is said to have covered the spread
and you win.

Point spreads can go up or down at any time depending on various
factors like player injuries, weather, and the like. The spread may
also be adjusted if the bets coming into the sportsbooks are
disproportionately favoring one side or the other. You are
generally locked in to whatever the point spread was at the time
you placed your sports bet.

When you look at a point spread, you will see one team with a
negative number and one team with a positive number. The favorite
team is always listed with a negative number. The underdog team is
given a positive number. Events that tie are considered "no action"
- no one wins or loses.

Let´s look at an example.
The Oakland Raiders are playing the New York Jets. The Raiders are
expected to win the game and the spread is 6. So, you see the
Raiders listed as -6 and the Jets listed as +6. You place a bet on
the Raiders. If the Raiders win by more than 6 points, you win the
bet. If the Raiders only win by 6 points, then the game is
considered "no action" and all money is returned. If the Raiders
win by less than 6 points, you lose the bet.

Try a couple of spread bets and soon point spreads will become
second nature. It is a very fun and challenging method of betting.

In this email, we will discuss betting money lines.

The easiest way to understand a money line, is to think of it as an
indication of the amount you need to bet to win $100 or the amount
you will win if you bet $100. Money lines are expressed with a
negative number, say -110, or a positive number, say +110.

A negative money line number indicates what you must wager to win
$100, and a positive money line number indicates what you will win
if you wager $100.

If you bet $110 on a team with a money line of -110, and they win,
you will win $100 (plus return of your original $110 bet). If you
bet $100 on a team with a money line of +110, and they win, you
will win $110 (plus return of the original $100 bet).

Unlike point spread bets, the teams do not have to win by any
particular number of points.

Now, you do not have to bet an amount equal to the money line
number. You can bet more or less and the payoff simply becomes a
proportional amount. For example, if you bet $11 on a money line of
-110, and your bet wins, you will win $10. If you bet $50 on a
money line of +110, and win, you will win $55.

Money lines are not nearly as complicated as they first appear.
Place a few bets and they will become second nature.

A big question I am often asked is "What are combo bets?"

In combo bets you have option to decide how many results you will
guess and if you guess that number or more, you are the winner.

Let´s look at some examples.
You are sure that 2 of four derby clashes this weekend will
end up in draw, but you cannot decide which 2. Then you should
bet combo 2/4.

You will win the bet, if you guess at least two draws, and you will
win much more if you guess more draws then you estimated. If there
are 2 draws, then you will win one of these bets and win money from
that bet. If there are 3 draws, then you will win 3 of those bets,
and you will money from all winning bets. All 4 draws would
generate a big profit for you, since all of your bets are winning
ones.

You should be careful with placing these kinds of bets, because
bookmakers have different policies.

1. One option is that you enter full risk money and they split
it to all combinations.

2. Another option is to accept risk for one possible combination
and multiply it with number of combinations

And that is all there is to combo betting. Enjoy!

What are accumulator bets? Read on and find out what they
are, and their advantages and disadvantages.

If you bet on singles, you are interested in outcome of only
one game. When the game ends, you know if you lost or won. In
accumulator bets you have more games on your betting slip, and
the outcome of all these games must match with your bet for you
to win money.

The main and the only advantage of accumulator bets is the
possibility to earn a lot of money. While with the singles
you have to place a big stake to win big, with accumulators
you can win a lot with just a $1 stake, or even less. How?

When you bet on accumulators, as we said, you are placing more then
one game on your betting slip. Your winning is your stake multiplied
by all the odds from the slip.

The main disadvantage with accumulators is that risk is very high,
and winning possibility low. When you bet on singles you have 33%
of chance to choose the actual outcome. With every game in
accumulator this percent is rapidly decreased.

So, accumulator with 2 games, have 11% chance for winning,
3 games less then 4%, and so on.

So, when should you bet accumulators? It is fun to do every so
often in hopes that Lady Luck will strike. However, for the
real money, you need to stick with the singles!

Like most forms of gambling, money management is an important
element of sports betting. At the outset, it is important
to define your objective.

Sports Betting for Entertainment:
For this type of sports betting, you may want to use a simple
budgetary type of money management. Give some serious thought to
your budget for the season. Then divide that budget by the number
of weeks in the season. This is your betting budget for the week.
Stick to it even when you come across that game that you think is
a sure thing.

Sports Betting for Professionals:
The professional sports gambler is interested in maximizing his
betting return. This requires a more disciplined approach to sports
betting that primarily focuses on spreading smaller bet amounts
across a larger number of bets. The goal here is to minimize
volatility and never put the bankroll in jeopardy.

You will generally want to keep your individual bets to less
than 3% of your bankroll, with 1% to 2% being ideal.

Determine your reasons for betting and then decide on the best
money management system for you. Always remember: Never bet more
than you can afford to lose!

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